Le forum I - TRANS - Transgenre et Transsexualité | Transidentité - Infos et Rencontres

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Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

16/11/22 LE FRONT EN FRANCAIS Par "Les conflit en carte"

Conflit Ukraine 16/11 : Kherson reprise par les Ukrainiens
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5IwDtlv4FII
0:00 Intro
0:32 Infos générales
2:51 Front Louhansk (nord)
3:46 Lyman-Kremmina
4:18 Siversk-Soledar-Bakhmut
5:30 Donetsk & Zaporijia
8:03 Kherson & Mykolaiv
10:20 Résumé
*

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

17/11/22 LE FRONT Quels drones permettent aux UKRs de frapper en Crimée

17 Nov: Ukrainians ATTACK CRIMEA With New Drones | War in Ukraine Explained
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IuyIXwFhNlA
Day 267: November 17

Today there is a lot of good and bad news.

First of all, the Russians conducted yet another missile strike, although this time, it was not as massive. In total, the Russians launched 16 cruise missiles and 5 kamikaze drones. The Ukrainian General Staff reported that 9 rockets and 2 drones were shot down.

Nonetheless, the Russians are still inflicting severe damage to the Ukrainian energy facilities. Ukrainian officials are not sugarcoating the situation and say the damage reaches a critical point where the integrated energy system may collapse in separate units. Right now, around 40% of people are with no electricity. In many instances, this also means that there is no heating, which creates an extremely dire situation, as in many regions, we can already see the first snow.

But for some people, no heating is the last thing on their minds because, as a result of the missile strike, many civilians had been killed and wounded. Today, in the Zaporizhzhia region, rockets struck several residential buildings. The buildings got completely demolished, and several families died under debris.

The Zaporizhzhia region seems to have also become an active part of the front line because, today, President Advisor Arestovych said in an interview that the Russians conducted their first attack here. These attacks were directed towards Huliapole. The ultimate goal here would be to reach Pavlograd, which right now is 100 km behind the front line. Pavlograd is one of the most important logistic hubs in eastern Ukraine because it allows supplying the Donbas and Luhansk groups fully. However, right now, their success is reportedly limited, and there were no significant changes to the front line.

In the Luhansk region, some sources have been reporting lately that the Ukrainians are losing control over the forest near Kreminna. But today, Ukrainian soldiers released a video where they caught and completely destroyed a Russian patrol. I will not show how they killed them but judging by the video description, the attack was conducted somewhere to the south of Kreminna.

Some fights were also reported in Bilohorivka. A few days ago, the Russians tried to advance on Ukrainian positions here, to push them out of Bilohorivka and consequently take half of the forest. At first, they achieved some success and established control over the northern part of Bilohorivka. This theoretically secured the southern part of the forest, which is why a lot of claims started suggesting that the Russians were advancing from Kreminna. But today, the Ukrainians conducted a counterattack and successfully pushed the Russians to their initial positions. Overall, the Ukrainians have regained the initiative in this region once again and are the ones who conduct most attacks, while the Russians are either in pure defense or active defense.

Lastly, a series of explosions were reported in Crimea. The targets of the attacks became Dzhankoi and Feodosia. Photo and video evidence suggest that the attack was conducted by drones. Now, Dzhankoi is 150 km away from the nearest Ukrainian positions, while Feodosia is more than 250 km away. Some sources say that these drones are Ukrainian-made. Interestingly, together with the reports about these explosions, some articles were published where it was said that Ukrainian drone technology is developing at a rapid pace and, after the war, Ukraine might as well become the biggest producer of drones in the world. Hopefully, this comes true but for now, let’s wait and see.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

17/11/22 Denys nous parle des offensives à venir

Update from Ukraine | We are going to cut Ruzzians and Destroy their Army in Massive Counterattack
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=m6Eb6_lpcRk

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

18/11/22 LE FRONT
Les UKR bombardent les dépots de munitions et voies de communications russes , les russes bombarde les gares des UKR

18 Nov: DANGER: Russians CUT UKRAINIAN REINFORCEMENTS (Destruction of Railway Stations)
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-So0sTapTWE
Day 268: November 18

In the Kherson region, the Ukrainians are notably pushing the Russians on the eastern bank of the river. Yesterday Ukrainian military sources posted footage of Ukrainian troops striking a Russian armored personnel carrier in Oleshky. The latest news suggests that the Ukrainians established control over the Krukhlik island. This island has plenty of ports and is located only 700 meters away from the shipyard, so it is quite likely that the Ukrainians are already there.

The Russians are targeting these ports with their artillery, and today they notably struck the main port in Kherson. Some reports suggested that this is an attempt to reduce Ukrainian profit from the grain deal, however, it is too early to use Kherson to export goods. As you can see, this is where they might have left some barges, and in order to complicate the construction of pontoon bridges, they probably struck this port.

The Ukrainians are also continuing to strike Russian bases far behind the current front line. Ukrainian General Staff reported that as a result of a HIMARS strike in Skadovsk, up to 50 Russian soldiers were killed and many more wounded. The General Staff also confirmed that the explosions in Chaplinka and Kalanchak that we discussed several days ago were indeed due to the destruction of Russian ammunition depots.

Overall, the southwestern part of the Kherson region slowly becomes more and more untenable. The difficulties of supplying this group are extreme because, as discussed previously, there is a huge national part, which means that there are very few roads, which in many areas are exposed to direct Ukrainian fire. So, Russian trucks have to travel up to 150 km possibly to get destroyed on the road. That is why they are slowly moving closer to the Zaporizhzhia region.

And in the Zaporizhzhia region, there were no further updates regarding the Russian offensive operation toward Huliapole. It is not unlikely that the Russians would try something substantial, as they must have already relocated a lot of troops here from Kherson. What also signals that the Russians may be serious about this direction is the fact they started targeting Ukrainian railway stations. Today explosions were reported at one railway station in Dnipro, one in Zaporizhzhia, and one in Vilniansk. What is common between these strikes is that they attacked only stations that are usually used to transport machinery from Kherson to Zaporizhzhia. This means that the goal here is to prevent the Ukrainians from reinforcing this part of the front line and possibly developing an offensive while the Ukrainians here are still weak.

In the meantime, the Ukrainians here are striking Russian ammunition depots. There are two artillery brigades, which exploit the fact that the Russians had to move here a lot of ammunition since the fall of Kherson. Over the last four days, the Ukrainians destroyed one ammunition depot near Dniprorudne, two near Melitopol, one near Tokmak, and one near Andriivka.

When it comes to the second Russian offensive operation near Vukhledar, today Russian Ministry of Defense reported that they established total control over the road that connects Mykilske and Pavlivka. This is a very dubious victory because I am quite confident that they cannot use it. First of all, it is less than 3 km away from Vukhledar, which means that Ukrainian tanks will demolish anything that moves through the field that, secondly, is in the lowlands. If we look at the topographic map, we can see that the road is around 30 meters below Ukrainian tanks. The only thing we can conclude from the reports of the Russian Ministry of Defense is that there has been no real progress here for quite a while.

That is why if we look at the surveys conducted by Russian Field, which is a Russia-based organization, we can see that the majority of the population does not want this so-called operation to continue. The survey also shows that, overall, people think that their standards of living have worsened, and they expect them to worsen even more, and almost all people expect the next wave of mobilization.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

18/11/22 Denys commente en images les événements du jour

Les Ukr s'organisent pour aider les civil a Kherson- les soldats russes de revolte - les media russes commence à douter

Update from Ukraine | Ruzzian attacks failed. PzH 2000 Big Problem They used a dummy nuclear warhead
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=nZ5_MkjlYrY

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

information démentie par Transneft

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Cette force qui nous pousse vers l'infini, il y a peu d'amour avec tellement d'envie

Selon navalnew: Ukraine’s Maritime Drone Strikes Again

Ukraine’s Maritime Drone Strikes Again: Reports Indicate Attack On Novorossiysk

Ukraine’s maritime drones can now reach a Russian Navy base until now regarded as safe. When the drones (USVs) were used to attack Sevastopol on October 29 they resulted in a major shift in Russian Navy operations. The threat is regarded as so serious that new defenses were added in Sevastopol. And the Russian Navy, which early in the war dominated the Black Sea, barely leaves port. Now this threat has reached another major Russian Navy base at Novorossiysk.

Local Russian sources have reported that a Ukrainian ‘naval drone’ has struck the Sheskharis oil terminal in Novorossiysk at night. This is strategically important.
Strategic Attack By Ukraine on Novorossiysk

https://www.google.com/url?sa=t&rct=j&q ... yeJQyirLvC

Novorossiysk is a major naval base and oil terminal on Russia’s Black Sea coast. At 420 miles (675 km) from Odesa, it is much further from Ukrainian held territory than Sevastopol. It has until now been regarded as out of range of Ukrainian attacks.

We have not yet been able to independent verify all of the details of the attack. However, the story has been reported in multiple local sources and a video has been shared:
There are also reports that a spokesperson for the Russian oil company Transneft has denied the attack. And some Russian reports have now been removed. Despite this, Naval News regards it as plausible and credible and, at this time, believes that it did occur.

Even a small attack, which does limited or no damage, could have massive consequences for Russia.

Attacking oil infrastructure makes strategic sense for Ukraine. Russia has targeted Ukrainian industry and civilian infrastructure on multiple occasions, even making it a strategy. Even without damaging the infrastructure this attack could affect Russia’s ability to export crude oil.

The navy base in Novorossiysk, close to the oil terminal which was reportedly hit, is also an important target. This is the home of many warships directly involved in the war with Ukraine. These include the Kilo Class submarines which were largely moved there from Sevastopol in September. The submarines can launch Kalibr cruise missiles and remain a daily threat to Ukraine.

Several large landing ships, which were sailed to the Black Sea in the build-up for the invasion, are also based there. Radar satellite from around early this morning shows that many of the warships were in port. It also shows only one smaller tanker at the main oil terminal pier. This may have been a factor in the limited damage reported.
The Fog Of War

Most accounts say that the attack occurred on November 18, but some sources state the night of 16-17. It is unclear whether the maritime drone used in the latest attack is the same model as used against Sevastopol. Some Russian sources state that the ‘naval drone’ belonged to the Ukrainian Armed forces.

One report states (translated), “The involvement of the Armed Forces of Ukraine was established after studying the wreckage of the drone. This is a surface unmanned vehicle used by Ukraine. Exactly the same type was involved in the attack on the Black Sea Fleet in Sevastopol at the end of October.”

These drones are made in Ukraine using a mix of technologies. They can be characterized as half jet ski and half canoe and can carry a small warhead. In October they were able to penetrate deep inside Sevastopol harbor.

While researching this article some of the Russian language reports began to be taken down. Naval News will endeavor to collaborate this information via other sources. However, there are efforts to control the narrative in Russia which may affect the availability of information.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

L'ammoniac s'écoulera-t-il de Togliatti à Odessa ?

Sergei Vershinin, chef adjoint du ministère russe des Affaires étrangères, a déclaré que le pipeline d'ammoniac Togliatti-Odessa est en bon état de fonctionnement. Et d'un point de vue technique, il n'y a aucun obstacle à son redémarrage. Le transit a été arrêté par la partie ukrainienne après le 24 février. Mais en juillet dernier, des représentants de l'ONU, d'Ankara, de Moscou et de Kyiv à Istanbul ont signé un accord qui prévoyait également l'approvisionnement en ammoniac de la Russie via l'Ukraine. Vershinin a rappelé qu'il s'agissait "d'un projet exclusivement commercial qui ne devrait être soumis à aucune condition préalable". Eh bien, les matières premières fournies chaque année par le pipeline d'ammoniac suffiront à obtenir 12 millions de tonnes d'engrais. Et ils fourniront déjà de la nourriture à environ 100 millions de personnes.

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Cette force qui nous pousse vers l'infini, il y a peu d'amour avec tellement d'envie

Demain la ville de Kherson sera évacuée

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Cette force qui nous pousse vers l'infini, il y a peu d'amour avec tellement d'envie

Non, Non, pas d'évacuation

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

Le FRONT au 19/11/22 par reporting from ukraine

19 Nov: Russians LOSE THE UPPER HAND | War in Ukraine Explained
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lK-UWEK3nbA
Day 269: November 19

After the Ukrainians completed their operation and liberated Kherson, both parties started relocating their troops to the east as rapidly as possible. The intensity of fights has been increasing along the entire eastern front, with multiple fierce battles taking place simultaneously, in particular in the Luhansk region.

Here, some of the most gruesome clashes happened along the Zherebets River. The main goal of the Ukrainians here is to establish a stable bridgehead on the eastern bank of the river for the purpose of developing their offensive further, while the main goal of the Russians is to stay as close to the river as possible to use it as a natural barrier and prevent Ukrainian offensive operation.

The Ukrainians have been most successful along the southern segment of the river. The Ukrainians launched a series of attacks on Dibrova. But even though the area of Russian control shrank significantly, the Ukrainians did not manage to take Dibrova in front and decided to move past it.

Shortly after that, the Russian commander of the BARS-13 said that the Ukrainians are operating in the vicinity of Kreminna.

The Ukrainians have also launched attacks to the north of Dibrova. At first, the fight took place along the tree belt areas but very soon, the Ukrainians managed to take the local high ground, which is located right in between two rivers. As you can see, this put the Russians in Dibrova in an inconvenient situation. The frequency of engagements has also increased. Nonetheless, the Russian defense in Dibrova still holds, which is quite impressive.

In the meantime, heavy battles broke out near Nevske and Makiivka. Even though the Russians did not manage to take control of Nevske, they had established a strong presence in the vicinity and attacked it every day. It is very hard for the Ukrainian side to defend this village because, firstly, it is located on the other bank of the river, and secondly, the Russians were attacking from the highlands. Fortunately, the Ukrainians in the central part of the region successfully developed their offensive and established control over the local highs, which worsened the Russian tactical position significantly. If we look at the topographic map, we can see that the area between the two rivers is up to 100 meters above the rivers.

So, by conquering the highs in the middle, the Ukrainians could gradually push the Russians from Nevske and start attacking Chervonopopivka. Russian sources reported that the Ukrainians are constantly attacking this town. This is not yet a full-scale attack, but multiple scout and sabotage groups got so deep into the region that they eventually rendered the Svatove-Kreminna road inoperable due to risk.

Conquering the highs also allowed the Ukrainians to push the Russians that were attacking Makiivka. The Russians actually took Makiivka, but a recent counterattack pushed them up to 6 km back toward Ploschanka. The success of this counteroffensive was in large part possible due to the control over the local highs, which plays a big role here. That is why the Russians are still able to hold defense in Dibrova and Ploschanka, which are seemingly isolated and weak. Their advantageous position, coupled with very convenient supply systems, makes them really tough targets.

Overall, the situation in the southern part of the Luhansk region right now can be described as a battle for the local highs. The elevation changes are quite significant, which means that those who control them can conduct devastating offensives. The Ukrainians understand this, and that is why they prioritize widening their bridgehead over attacking Kreminna and other defenses. The Ukrainians finally have firm control over the high ground in the central part of the region, which they are using to undermine Russian defensive in Dibrova and offensive in Makivvka, which judging by the latest reports seemed to have started falling apart.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

Denys commente l'actualité en images 19/11/22
Update fr
om Ukraine | Huge losses in Ruzzian army | Ukraine was able to defend the critical city

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZTfJbzcAGw0

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

20/11/22 LE FRONT Attention des renfort russes arrivent dans le luhansk

20 Nov: LAST CHANCE. Culmination of the FOREST BATTLE in Luhansk | War in Ukraine Explained
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=E0OnEzwSYxg
Day 270: November 20

The Ukrainian Head of the Luhansk region stated that Russian forces are transferring the remnants of the Russian airborne units from the west bank of the Kherson region to the Luhansk region. Ukrainian General Staff already reported the increased concentration of Russian personnel in Luhansk, and many analysts agree that these forces will be allocated to the area where the Russians are suffering the highest losses in this region – the Kuzemivka area.

Here, the Ukrainians are assuming their positions in Novoselivka, while the Russians are still maintaining substantial control over Kuzemivka. Taking control over this small and seemingly insignificant village allowed the Ukrainians to change the situation in this region almost completely.

If we look at the topographic map, we can see that Novoselivske is one of the highest points in this region. What makes the situation for the Russians even worse is that the drop-off in altitude when you step into Kuzemivka is tremendous. The altitude decreases by around 50 meters every 500 meters. So, the central part of Kuzemivka is only 1 km away from the Ukrainian positions and 100 meters below them. If we look at the 3D map, we can get a sense of how significant is the change in elevation. This is the main reason why all Russian attempts to retake Novoselivka ended up with devastating defeats and losses.

The Ukrainians understand the importance of these positions, and that is why they are constantly moving more and more armored machinery and artillery in this region. The Ukrainians are also attacking Kryvoshyivka to immobilize Russian troops and impede the realization of any counterattacks that they might have planned.

However, over the last week, there was a significant decrease in the number of attacks towards Kuzemivka. So, despite a seemingly strong local advantage, they were not able to develop their attack. The main reason is also clear – in order to develop their attack, they need to move on the Russians from the northwest, but here is a big problem – the Russians are controlling the forest across the field and do not allow anyone to cross it.

That is why lately, the Ukrainians shifted their focus to the forest. The main problem here is that there is no convenient position for the Ukrainians from which to attack it. Here, the Russians are at the elevation, and what makes the situation even worse is that there are not one but two tree belt areas in front of the forest, which are also mined.

At first, the Ukrainians were able to establish their positions in the tree belts and fix Russian troops, at least to an extent. This allowed the Ukrainians in Novoselivka to resume their attacks, however, later, the Russians started engaging their thermobaric artillery and aviation quite heavily. As there was not much place to hide, they eventually pushed the Ukrainians from the trees.

After that, Russian sources started reporting about the heavy engagement of Ukrainian drones. The drones allowed not only to bomb Russian units but also to collect a lot of information regarding their positions. That is why it was soon followed by artillery fire, as the Ukrainians relocated their artillery closer to this region as well.

Several days ago, the Ukrainians resumed their offensive in this region and started a forest battle. So far, the situation is unknown and this region is widely considered a grey zone. Given that Ukrainian General Staff has already reported about Russian troops arriving at Luhansk, the Ukrainians probably have maximum 2 days until this region gets reinforced. So, the Ukrainians will for sure increase the pressure even more and try to clear the forest before it becomes an even harder task.

If the Ukrainians establish stable positions here, Kuzemivka and Kryvoshyivka will become doomed to fall as well. The collapse of the front line will put the Ukrainians only 7 km away from Nyzhnia Duvanka, which is one of the most important Russian logistical hubs in the region and the key to Svatove.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

21/11/22 LE FRONT EN DETAILS pièges et ambuscades des UKRs

21 Nov: Clever. Ukrainians LURE & AMBUSH Russian Attackers | War in Ukraine Explained
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LcLLQLo-T2g

Day 271: November 21

As you might still remember, in October, the Ukrainians conducted a devastating counteroffensive in this region and forced the Russians to start from scratch. It took the Russians around one week to regroup, and during the first week of November, they had already launched their first attacks and attempted to develop their success to the south of Bakhmut.

The reason why the Russians picked the southern direction as their first target is simple. If we zoom into the southern region, we can see that Opytne and Ivanhrad are not separate from Bakhmut. Despite being considered standalone villages from the administrative point of view, they are connected to Bakhmut and are basically its southern outskirts. They are also stretching too far out from the city, which makes them more vulnerable and exposed to potential assaults.

In order to prevent a flank attack, the Russians also engaged some troops to conduct attacks on Klischivka, Andriivka, and Kurdiumivka. And otherwise, the risk of a flank attack would be enormous because the Ukrainians reinforced this region even more, and now it is under the protection of 4 brigades. And even though some of these forces are allocated to protect other areas down the line, this is still a lot and shows that the Ukrainians definitely do not plan to give away any ground.

By the second week of November, the Bakhmut area became the area with the most intense fights in the entire Ukraine. On 8 November, the Spokesman for Ukraine’s Eastern Group stated that the Bakhmut-Avdiivka-Vuhledar line is the hottest area of the front. And on 11 November, it became even hotter because the Ukrainians launched a series of counterattacks. Russian sources reported that the Ukrainians concentrated their artillery fire on Ivanhrad while simultaneously engaging their tank brigade and attacking from Klischivka and Andriivka toward Zaitseve. This is exactly what the Russians feared the most – a flank attack. As a result of these coordinated actions, the Russians suffered severe losses and were forced to retreat, zeroing out the limited gains that they managed to achieve.

After that, the Russians decided to switch their focus to the eastern part of Bakhmut, and they once again tried to return control over the champagne factory, which was partially successful. The intensity of fights somewhat decreased for several days, but after the loss of Kherson, the Russians were in urgent need of victories, which is why they immediately intensified their hostilities. A National Guard representative stated that the Russians were launching attacks with “maniacal persistence.” The losses spiked tremendously. Some of you mentioned that Russian general losses per day reported by Ukraine did not change. Yes, but they did not change, given that the Kherson front became almost inactive. So, for these numbers to stay constant, there must have been a spike in losses in other directions.

In order to gain ground as fast as possible and declare that some settlements have been conquered, the Russians started dropping phosphorus to burn the Ukrainians on the ground. Eventually, this brought results, and geolocated footage showed that the Russians established their positions in Opytne, Ivanhrad, fixed Ukrainian troops in Bakhmut, launched an attack toward the central part of Bakhmut, and also took other factories on the eastern outskirts.

After they exhausted their combat capabilities, the Ukrainians once again launched their counterattacks. The first series of assaults was launched to the south of the city. Here, the Ukrainians once again conducted a broad flank attack and pushed toward Opytne, Zaitseve, and Odradivka.

The second series of assaults was launched from inside Bakhmut itself and attempted to push the Russians from the eastern outskirts and from the central part of the city, where the Russians tried to operate under the cover of their forces located in Ivanhrad.

Even though Russian sources reported these counterattacks as unsuccessful, they still put all of their combat zones back into the grey zone. As you can see, the Russians keep getting into the same trap. They get into the suburbs, and the moment they try to reach the city, they get decimated by a flank attack, which is followed by an attack from inside the city. This is exactly what happened in October, and this is exactly what happened in November, twice.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

La russie evacue Armiansk en crimée

Russia Begins Evacuating Armiansk in Crimea!
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=neBEDHfgpAo

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

25/11/22 Le Front Les ukrainiens ont franchi le dniepre

https://youtu.be/ytGQeZM58oo

The Ukrainians are increasing the intensity of their artillery strikes on Russian bases, in particular in Skadovsk and Chaplynka. Interestingly, even Crimean occupation officials demonstrated heightened unease likely over Ukrainian strikes on Russian ground lines of communication on the peninsula. Some sources stated that the Russians are preparing to evacuate Armyansk.

As you might remember, Armyansk is one of a few settlements in Crimea that the Ukrainians can currently reach using their long-range artillery systems. As of now, the Ukrainians have not struck it, and the reason is pretty clear. At the moment, there is plenty of targets in the bases located closer, so the plan is to hit those, force the Russians to relocate the rest further, possibly to Armyansk, and then hit these remnants in Armyansk, increasing the total losses of equipment. That is why, in an attempt to decrease their reliance on Armyansk, Russian forces are planning to expand a road on the Arabat Spit, but this is unlikely to happen in the near future.

But even though the Ukrainians are not engaging their artillery to hit Crimea, they are still engaging plenty of drones. A few days ago, footage emerged of Russian air defenses activating along the southwestern part of Crimea. The target of the strike mainly became Sevastopol, where the Russians have their Black Sea Fleet. Due to the strike, the movement of maritime passenger transport in Sevastopol was stopped. Local officials were forced to raise its terrorist threat level to high until at least 7 December.

Crimean officials worry that the strikes will intensify even more if the Ukrainians get control over the Kinburn peninsula. And when it comes to Kinburn, Ukrainian Center for Strategic Communications and Information Security reported that Ukrainian forces are continuing to carry out operations on the Kinburn Spit but specified that Russian forces are still holding positions at the spit. Russian sources reported that Ukrainians are being spotted much more frequently in Dnipro Gulf, to the point where they are unsure whether it is a regular patrol or reconnaissance.

Russian sources also reported about direct engagement with Ukrainian troops near the Antonivsky Bridge. They claimed that a sabotage group entered Ukrainian territory and killed several soldiers on patrol, but this information is not widely confirmed. What is confirmed, though, is that the Russians entered a heavy artillery battle with the Ukrainians. It seems like the Ukrainians indeed caused severe damage to the Russian bases, to the point where counterbattery efforts became a priority. That is why over the last several days, the Russians covered with their artillery almost all prefrontal settlements, including Kherson and Beryslav. Unfortunately, a lot of civilians suffered due to these strikes. A few days ago, the Russians also struck Kherson City with incendiary munitions. New photos of a completely demolished residential buildings emerge almost every hour, and the number of killed and wounded is also constantly growing.

Recently, Russian sources reported increased Ukrainian aerial reconnaissance. As a result of this intense reconnaissance, the Ukrainian General Staff reported that Russian troops are constructing fortifications north of Radensk, and deploying additional equipment to defensive lines along the Kakhovka-Melitopol highway.

But the biggest news is that Russian sources reported that Ukrainian sabotage activities intensified. They confirmed that they recorded an increase in the number of boats on the eastern bank of the river and concluded that Ukrainian sabotage groups are operating in the region. So far, they were not found, and this is really good. These troops on the eastern bank will help to locate and destroy concentrations of forces and ammunition depots, which in the long term will weaken Russian positions substantially and can open a window for a full-scale attack on the prefrontal settlements. It seems like the Russians understand that as well, and it explains why they are also preparing their defense deeper in the region.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

LE FRONT 26/11/22 Le stock de missile russes est presque épuissé

26 Nov: NO STOCK: Russia RAN OUT OF GOOD ROCKETS | War in Ukraine Explained

https://youtu.be/YEj_nkLYyNc
As the Russians, to a larger extent, shifted their focus away from Kherson, they notably increased the concentration of their forces in the Zaporizhzhia region. Some of you referred to previous reports that suggested that the Ukrainians already have a lot of forces here, so the Zaporizhzhia front should be stable. However, everything is relative. At that time, the Ukrainians had a lot of forces relative to what the Russians had. Now, after the Russians regrouped, the Ukrainians do not have an advantage in terms of sheer manpower anymore. That is why the Ukrainians are trying to follow suit and move their troops to Zaporizhzhia.

As you already know, the main means of transport used for moving heavy equipment is the railways. The Russians are doing two things to slow the Ukrainians. Firstly, they are targeting energy infrastructure with their missiles, which causes blackouts, and given that 85% of trains in Ukraine use electricity, military logistics are affected severely. Secondly, they are targeting the rails themselves, in particular, important interception and stations. Today the Russians tried to conduct yet another precision strike, but this turned out to be the worst precision strike that we have seen.

In total, the Russians launched three missiles on Dnipro. Two of them landed in the private sector. And this was not collateral damage because the shell holes were found in the middle of the streets. As a result, more than 20 homes were destroyed or damaged, 500 square meters were burnt, and dozens of people were killed and wounded.

Judging by the description, I was able to find and analyze the location. Ukrainian officials reported that the first two explosions happened in the Amur-Nyzhnodniprovskyi district. They also said that the explosions damaged an orphanage, so the first two rockets landed somewhere in this region. Ukrainian officials also reported that the third rocket fell in the Samarsky district and hit a warehouse with wheat, which implies that the rocket landed somewhere here.



If we forget for a second that these were supposed to be precision strikes, then we can see that all rockets landed near very important connections of railways that are used to supply the Zaporizhzhia region. Even though there are other ways to deliver them, Dnipro is a crucial center that connects everything in Ukraine.

The fact that all three rockets missed might be partially explained by the recent report of the British Ministry of Defense, where they stated that judging by the remnants of the rockets found in Ukraine, the Russians started using even older versions of their cruise missiles due to the depletion of their arsenal, and these old rockets obviously have even worse precision. If that’s really the case, then it seems like the Ukrainians will manage to relocate their equipment from Kherson with no hurdles.

And when it comes to Kherson, the Armed Forces of Ukraine believe that the Russians, in the coming weeks, will not have any opportunity to force the river, which is why they are gradually redeploying units to other directions. Nonetheless, as I told you yesterday, the Ukrainians are still keeping a substantial amount of forces here, possibly to utilize them if they discover an opportunity to conduct an attack.

And while Ukrainian sabotage groups and artillery are working in concert to undermine Russian defense in this region, the Ukrainians are repairing the infrastructure damaged by the leaving Russians, and today Kherson and the nearby areas finally got electricity. Working energy facilities are crucial for sustaining military operations, especially if the Ukrainians take the idea of crossing the river seriously.

But intactness of critical infrastructure is important not only for the military but also civilians. These electricity outages severely affect the population, especially the younger demographics, because, for safety reasons, all education establishments work only online, and with no electricity, they cannot even get that.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

LE FRONT au 27/11/22 the Ukrainians open access to Svatove.


27 Nov: SUCCESS. Ukrainians WIN A FIERCE FOREST BATTLE | War in Ukraine Explained
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5thq7JsenZ4
Day 277: November 27

The Kuzemivka area is one of the hottest areas on the front line. Here, the Russians lost the highlands and were experiencing significant difficulties in holding their positions. Nonetheless, despite the local tactical advantage, the Ukrainians couldn’t develop their offensive further because they simply couldn’t defeat the Russians in the forest. The situation became critical because, simultaneously, the Russians moved a lot of troops from Kherson to Luhansk, and it was expected that the Russians would reinforce the Kuzemivka area and stop Ukrainian progress. So, the Ukrainians urgently needed to push the Russians before their chances of winning diminished.

After scanning the whole forest with drones and bombing the identified Russian positions, the Ukrainians resumed their ground attacks, and the latest news suggests that the Ukrainians achieved success. Even according to Russian sources, such as militarymaps.info, the forest is no longer under Russian control. Right now, it is marked as a grey zone, and it indeed seems like the Ukrainians still need to finish clearing the forest because, apparently, the Russians can afford to conduct attacks from Kuzemivka.

Firstly, the reason behind the Ukrainians not being able to use this forest entirely is simple. The Russians have left a lot of mines. There were a lot of mines even before the Russians left, which is why developing ground attacks was quite tricky.

Secondly, the Russians are attacking Novoselivske down the line because they understand that if the Ukrainians control both Novoselivske and the forest, then the Russians in Kuzemivka are doomed. If we look at the topographic map, we can see that Novoselivske and the woods are the two highest points on the map around Kuzemivka. As long as the Russians controlled the forest, they could counter Ukrainian attacks from Novoselivske, so after losing the forest, the Russians were desperate to take back Novoselivske to prevent attacks from the forest.

That is why for the past five days, the Russians attacked Novoselivske every day and threw into the battle everything they had. Their first attempts were allegedly at least partially successful. And seems like it is true that the Ukrainians needed to step back because the Russians also opened a supporting line of attack from Kolomyichykha toward Stelmakhivka. Novoselivske is mainly supplied and reinforced from Stelmakhivka, so these attacks would only make sense if, first, the Russians saw that Ukrainian defenders were being depleted or, second, they were pushed out. Unfortunately for the Russians, after several days, the Ukrainians manages to take back the initiative and reverse the course of action. Today Russian Ministry of Defense already reported that it is the Russians in Kolomyichykha that are under attack. Other Russian sources claimed that the Ukrainians assaulted Kuzemivka several times as well, but not frequently.

And low frequency, in this case, is understandable, as continuous rains turned the Kuzemivka area into the mud. Kuzemivka is in the lowlands, so all the water eventually moves to this area and makes the ground much wetter for much longer. This issue is less pronounced in the forest that is also located on the high ground. In any case, temperatures are forecasted to drop throughout Ukraine over the next week, which will likely freeze the ground and expedite the pace of fighting as mobility increases for both sides.

And when it comes to the new fights, if the Ukrainians successfully consolidate control over the forest, the next big hurdle on their way is Kolomyichykha. As you can see, the settlement stretches in many directions and has many tree belts, so taking control of it is not an easy task. The Russians have a vast multitude of possibilities for how to establish their defense here. The good news is that once the Ukrainians penetrate the Kuzemivka-Kolomyichykha defense line completely, they put all Russian positions down the line in a very inconvenient position, and most importantly, the Ukrainians open access to Svatove.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

01/12/22 LE FRONT Beaucoup de sabotages en russie avec des images

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=SzjEYfhmGKg

Day 280: November 30

Today there were a lot of explosions on the territory of the Russian Federation.

In the Bryansk region, three tanks containing thousands of tons of diesel fuel caught fire. According to the governor of the region, the fire area was 4 thousand square meters. News sources reported that more than 80 people and 30 pieces of equipment, including a fire train, were involved in the extinguishing. Russian sources also claimed that the explosion was caused by an unidentified munition that was dropped from a drone.

Next, in the Kursk region, two areas were left with no electricity after electrical infrastructure was destroyed in the aftermath of the shelling. The Korenovo and Sudzha areas are only 10 and 20 km away from the front line, so inflicting such damage should not be problematic. The governor of the region already claimed that the Ukrainians targeted Russian energy facilities. Public discontent here is extreme, and people are questioning the effectiveness of Russian air defense systems. What is interesting, the media seemed to indirectly address this question by stating that the Bryansk and Kursk regions have only a yellow level of a terrorist threat, meaning that it requires a medium-level response regime. However, explosions and fires also happened deeper into the Russian territory.

In the Perm region, a fire broke out at the largest thermal power plant. The workers of the plant reported that there was a huge explosion, after which a strong fire broke out. Local officials already reported that the plant is restored and working at 100% capacity, however, such claims are highly doubtful because initially, it was reported that something exploded in the boiler and turbine shop. The drop in energy production was also noted as significant, so it is unlikely that everything is intact.

In the Volgograd region, a fire broke out in a workshop for the production of plastic containers. Even though it does not seem a particularly important target, the damage to the Russian resources turned out to be tremendous. Media sources reported that around 1,500 square meters were on fire, the fire was spreading to other buildings, and around 500 people were evacuated from the premises.

Russian sources are speculating that this was an organized sabotage attack, and some also note that we only got to know about successful ones, which implies an even greater reach of the party at blame. Ukraine actually did not take the blame for anything that happened and did not claim that these were their attacks.

In the meantime, the Ukrainians are trying to get approval to use Western weapons on Russian territory. As the Russians are moving their bases, command centers, and equipment back to Russian territory, it becomes very difficult for the Ukrainians to actually use their weapons. Especially given that the Russians basically declared war on civilian infrastructure. The Ukrainians have to just sit and watch how the Russians are slowly gathering rockets and fighter jets along the border, preparing for the next massive missile strike, without being able to fire at the airfields and ammunition depots. Today, the Latvian Foreign Minister pointed out the absurdity of the situation and said that Ukraine should be free to strike targets inside Russia to fend off attacks on its critical infrastructure. While this topic is gradually being brought to the table of discussions, seven European countries pledged to support Ukraine in preparing for winter and in restoring its energy infrastructure. Germany has already pledged 56 million euros for reparation of the infrastructure. Spain has pledged more air defense and generators. And the US is also helping with a 53 million dollar help package. In response to such help, the Ukrainian Prime Minister announced that there are finally enough energy resources in Ukraine to get through the winter relatively stably, which is very good news.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

En direct : une alerte aérienne déclenchée dans toute l'Ukraine • FRANCE 24

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=u8ICEbcCDvQ

Une alerte aérienne a été déclenchée dans tout le pays par des autorités ukrainiennes qui assurent qu'une nouvelle salve de tirs de missiles et d'attaques de drones se prépare en Russie. Suivez heure par heure les derniers développements de la situation en Ukraine sur notre live. 

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

LE FRONT 01/12/22 Les russes sont en train de chercher à encercler la ville clé de Bakhmut

01 Dec: Russians ARE SURROUNDING a KEY CITY, Bakhmut | War in Ukraine Explained

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_iSmBk8iOfI
One of the hottest parts of the front line right now is the Bakhmut area. Here the Russians are launching one assault after another to the south of Bakhmut in an attempt to complete the encirclement operation and force the Ukrainians inside the city to capitulate.

Today we have received confirmations that the Russians eventually took control of Kurdiumivka, Zelenopillia, and Andriivka and started developing their operation further. Some sources already indicate that the Russians broke through the next Ukrainian defensive line to advance towards Chasiv Yar, which would cut one of the two main Ukrainian ground lines of communication to Bakhmut. However, even though some of these facts are true, the situation is not as dire as it seems, and here is why.

Two days ago, I told you that because the Russians established control over the crucial high-ground position in Mayorsk, they managed to step by step undermine the Ukrainian defense in Ozarianivka and Kurdiumivka. I also said that the Ukrainians might be able to preserve Kurdiumivka, especially given that the Ukrainians reinforced this region, however, it seems like that reinforcement did not get on time, and the Ukrainians were forced to retreat from Kurdiumivka and Zelenopillia. Given that a small village Andriivka also fell, the front line shifted approximately 3 km west.

Some sources are saying that the Russians are finally ready to cut one of the main supply roads to the southwest of Bakhmut by taking Ivanivske, or they are going to encircle Toretsk by moving towards Bila Hora. However, in reality, the Russians do not have enough resources for such attacks.

Let’s start by taking a look at the topographic map. Over the last week, the Russians have been on a winning streak because they gained a local tactical advantage. They took Mayorsk, and then by leveraging the heights, they were slowly moving downhill on Kurdiumivka. If the Russians indeed want to implement the first scenario and take Ivanivske, then the Russians would again need to go uphill, as Chasiv Yar is located high above the ground, around 35 meters above Kurdiumivka. This means that they are in direct fire control. Secondly, if we switch to the satellite view, we can see that there are a lot of ravines, tree belts, and forests on their way to Ivanisvke. This means that they would necessarily get stuck in front of each of them while being in direct fire control and artillery aim. Thirdly, Ivanisvke is a big village in the lowlands, which means that it is a perfect slaughterhouse.

Some say that they may still cut the connection by establishing control over Klischivka, however, there are a lot of problems with this idea as well. Firstly, it is in the lowlands, so they will not be able to see the road and have direct fire control unless they step into the fields. And if they step into fields, they themselves become easy targets. But even if they decide that it is worth it, the Ukrainians have plenty of other roads in the back of Bakhmut. That is why this city is such a tough target – its supply roads are virtually unreachable, especially from the south.

If the Russians want to implement the second scenario and take Bila Hora, they will face a lot of problems as well. As you can see, the Ukrainians in Toretsk have a lot of Terikons near the coal mines, which stand up to 80 meters above the ground. The city itself is also not in the lowlands, just like Chasiv Yar. Bila Hora is only 8 km away from Chasiv Yar and Toretsk, so every Russian move will be in direct vision. This means that it will be virtually impossible to defend these positions from counterattacks, let alone supply this group.

Overall, we can see that small tactical gains did not give the Russians an absolute advantage. The Institute for the Study of War stated that in their estimation, Russian forces around Bakhmut are unlikely to place Bakhmut under threat of imminent encirclement rapidly. They also said that there is no evidence that Russian forces currently threaten key Ukrainian logistics lines.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

03/12/22 LE FRONT Les attaques UKRs sur Kreminna se développent

03 Dec: Ukrainians Already STORMING Russian DEFENSE LINE | War in Ukraine Explained

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4FxkrHJEcl8
Day 283: December 03

In the Luhansk region, Ukrainian and Russian sources confirmed that the Ukrainians made several breakthroughs near Kreminna. Last time we talked about this region, I told you that the Ukrainians here finally gained a tactical advantage. After pushing the Russians towards Dibrova, the Ukrainians got a toehold on the local height between the two rivers. From here, the Ukrainians gradually managed to push the Russians further and further from the heights. If we look at the topographic map, we can see that the Ukrainians are now fully controlling the high ground, and as I told you before if the Ukrainians manage to consolidate control over it, then it would be very hard for the Russians to conduct their attacks, and they will likely have to stay and hold their defense line. Given that the Russians exhausted their manpower in massive yet futile three waves of counterattacks, this is exactly what eventually happened.

Today the Ukrainian Head of the Luhansk region stated that the Ukrainians have already established their positions a few kilometers from Chervonopopivka. This means that the Ukrainians cleared at least some of the forest areas, held total control over them, and could increase the intensity of their attacks. Ukrainian General Staff reported that the Russians tried to conduct several counterattacks, but they were unsuccessful. Russian Ministry of Defense reported that the Ukrainians are attacking not only Chervonipopivka but also Zhytlivka, meaning that the Ukrainians are already storming the Russian Svatove-Kreminna defense line.

The Ukrainian Head of the Luhansk region also commented on the situation to the south of Kreminna and said that they managed to achieve marginal progress there as well and are already several kilometers away from the town. He added that the weather is finally changing in this region, noting that Ukrainian forces will soon be able to improve their maneuvers as the mud fully freeze. The Institute for the Study of War recently made the same assessment and concluded that fighting would likely intensify over that winter period, given that frozen ground provides better conditions for maneuver warfare. Even though the weather has only started to change, Russian sources have already claimed that Ukrainian forces were activated around Kreminna and notably increased the number of attacks that they conduct. Overall, we can see that gaining control over the high ground and improved weather conditions played crucial roles in consolidating the Ukrainian tactical advantage in the region.

Ukrainian Intelligence reported that the Russians had transported from Belarus around 100 rockets to prepare for the next massive attack on Ukrainian infrastructure. President Putin recently had a long conversation with the German Chanchellor Olaf Scholz, where they talked about these massive missile strikes. In this call, Putin stated that Russia had been left with no choice but to conduct missile strikes on targets in Ukrainian territory, due to the Ukrainian attacks on Russian infrastructures, such as Crimean Bridge. In reality, it seems like Russia is trying to, firstly, create a humanitarian situation that would create pressure within Ukraine to overthrow Zelenskyi, secondly, require an even bigger financial commitment from its Western partners, which should put a strain on their budget, and thirdly, generate another wave of refugees to Europe to force the West to back down on help and force Ukraine to negotiate on Russian terms.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

Ça faiisait un moment que je n'allait plus ces partis de forums sur le sujet Ukraine...


D'après les discutions pas très officielles c'est bien un anti missile Ukrainien (lancé contre un missile Russe de fabrication Iranienne?) qui a fait ça.
L'Iran fait des solutions missiles et drones pour la Russie. Ils vont sûrement rentrer dans l'Otsc (Otan des membres de la CEI: pays satellites de la Russie). Des membres anciens sont partis pour aller voir ailleurs et aller à d'autres structures genre GUAM (à des millions d'années lumières des idees de l'Otsc) ou carrément à l'OTAN depuis des années. Marre de l'influence de la Fédération de Russie. L' Otan n'a jamais eu une telle hémorragie.
Poutine a des vues sur l'Ukraine, la Moldavie. Reste le Turkménistan qui lui n'a pas souhaité adhérer à l'Otsc. Des plans sur la comète poutinien?

Sin7

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

LE FRONT 01/01/23 Par reporting from ukraine

01 Jan: Ukrainians DEMOLISH A HUGE RUSSIAN BASE | War in Ukraine Explained
https://youtu.be/kM9AGm7xPbM
Day 312: January 01

During New Year's night, the Russians launched around half a hundred Iranian kamikaze drones. According to the Ukrainian General Staff, 45 drones were shot down: 13 of them before midnight and 32 after midnight. The photos of the remnants of these drones show that the Russians have written New Year wishes on them.

The Ukrainians have prepared to protect their cities during New Year's night because they created the so-called civil defense squads, which are basically mobile anti-drone groups that operated just outside the cities. The fact that they are using off-road cars helps them to coordinate and quickly concentrate on a particular direction. One car uses a powerful flashlight to trace the drone, while others can reliably aim off to shoot the drones that are hundreds of meters away.

As I told you yesterday, the Russians have concentrated their efforts on protecting the air over Moscow and created around three circles of air defense systems, with a total of two thousand people monitoring the sky during the new year. I also told you that the Russians have likely compromised their air defense in other regions around Ukraine, which means that the Ukrainians might exploit this opportunity. And this is exactly what the Ukrainians did. Today at night, the Ukrainians struck a huge Russian military base in the Donetsk region.

The base was located in Makiivka, and according to some sources, there were around 600 troops, including three high-ranked commanders. The building was reported struck by HIMARS. All rockets hit the building simultaneously and completely demolished it. It was reported that the building had a lot of ammunition in the basement, which detonated and amplified the destruction. Locals reported that the Russians had to use a lot of trucks just to collect the dead bodies, and the trucks were so overloaded with dead bodies that some of them fell on the road from the trucks, which was captured on camera by the cars that were using the road after the trucks departed. Overall, it is estimated that 500 soldiers were killed, and the rest is heavily wounded, and even if they survive, they will not return to the front.

The Ukrainians have also taken the chance to target military objects in the neighboring Russian regions, in particular, Kursk, Belgorod, Voronezh, and Rostov. The videos filmed by the residents of the big Russian cities only capture the sound of the air defense system. No destruction of civilian infrastructure has been recorded, so the targets must be military objects. Some sources indicate that the explosions were heard near the airfields, which the Russians indeed use quite often in these regions.

Despite the fact the Russians tried to protect Moscow and St. Petersburg, some sources indicate that it was still (quote) “loud” out there. I found no reports of explosions, but it was said that the air threat sirens indeed went off.

Overall, while the Russians have been targeting the Ukrainian capital with their drones with symbolic New Year wishes, the Ukrainians have struck Russian military objects. The destruction of the military base in Makiivka is one of the most successful missile strikes during this war. But this might not be the end of it because, just like with the missile strike in Zaporizhzhia, some soldiers may start deserting here as well in fear of being the next target. And given that the Donetsk front is one of the hottest, this can lead to catastrophic consequences for the Russians.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

LE FRONT 04/01/23 Par Reporting from ukraine

Les ukrainiens devant Kremina

Day 315: January 04

Today there are a lot of updates from the Luhansk region. Last time, I told you the Ukrainians assaulted Russian positions to the north of Dibrova. In the first stage of the operation, the Ukrainians managed to reduce Russian control around Dibrova significantly, but when the fighting got close to their main base, moving forward became much more difficult, as the Russians here had more established positions and better supplies. Besides, the only area under Russian control basically remained the forests, so the Ukrainians could not generate rapid breakthroughs here with their mobile units. That is why the fights became positional, engaging only infantry, artillery, and aviation.

The deteriorating weather conditions also played a role. The Ukrainians here waited for the drop in temperature to conduct this offensive operation, but it seems like several days in, the temperature rebounded, and there was rain, followed by several days of above-zero temperature. Luckily, the Ukrainian offensive did not suffer as much as it could. The reason why the Ukrainian offensive did not fail is that they managed to push the Russians from the fields. So, the Ukrainians used the fields while they could, gained some ground, and secured their positions along the forest, and after that, the forest battle started, where the Ukrainians could not use their cars anyway, regardless of whether it was rainy or not.

Still, as you can imagine, even in the forest, dry weather is preferable for the offensive operation. That is why the offensive operation has inadvertently slowed down but not stopped. During these humid conditions, both the Ukrainians and the Russians started to rely on artillery and aviation more heavily. According to a Russian source, the Ukrainians have around 1500 servicemen constantly storming Russian positions. According to Military Land, the Ukrainians have deployed the 45th artillery brigade to the Svatove region, which is, to a large extent, focused on the area of the main action – Kreminna. Additionally, to provide air support to ground troops, the Ukrainians continue engaging tactical aircraft Su-27 and MiG-29 from the airfield in northern Ukraine.

The Russians seem to have slowly given in to the pressure. Ukrainian Deputy Chief of the Main Operational Directorate reported that Ukrainian forces have advanced 2.5 km in the direction of Kreminna over the past week and are continuing offensive actions towards the settlement. Later, a social media post claimed that Ukrainian forces captured Dibrova. There was no official confirmation of the Ukrainians entering this village, so the post was disregarded, however, when several days later Russian Ministry of Defense reported about hunting down Ukrainian artillery around Dibrova, it became obvious that the Russians had left it. This doesn’t mean that the Ukrainians have entered it, it looks like it is a grey zone that no party can occupy due to the overwhelming fire. Additionally, a reserve officer and military analyst indirectly confirmed that the Russians left Dibrova by saying that the Ukrainians are operating less than 5 km away from Kreminna.

Other Russian sources are largely indicating that the Battle for Kreminna has almost started. A BARS-13-affiliated source claimed that Ukrainian forces are preparing to attack Kreminna from three directions. Another Russian source said that they are expecting a Ukrainian counteroffensive operation once the ground freezes in the area, which is forecasted to drop below zero in 2 days and stay below zero for more than a month. Some sources also emphasize that the Ukrainians are even preparing the infrastructure to supply and support the stormtroopers by erecting additional pontoon crossings southwest of Kreminna.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

23 /01/23 LE FRONT - par Reporting from ukraine en anglais

23 Jan: REALITY HIT RUSSIANS IN THE FACE | War in Ukraine Explained

https://youtu.be/R3rhQz_xIsI
Day 334: January 23

Today there are a lot of updates from the Zaporizhzhia region. Here, after the Russians launched their offensive operation with the goal of capturing Orikhiv, they quickly realized that they underestimated the capability of the Ukrainians. Ukrainian artillery, which they thought was relocated to the east, opened devastating fire and forced the Russians to completely change their main lines of attack and especially how these attacks are conducted.

As you remember, during the first day of the Russian offensive operation, the Russians established control over the grey zone areas to get as close to the Ukrainian defense line as possible, and during the second day, the Russians started storming every single settlement that is a part of the Orikhiv defense line, which did not work out very well. It seems like the Russians counted on two things.

Firstly, the Russians likely assumed that by increasing the activity in this dormant direction rapidly, they could catch the Ukrainians off guard and exploit the element of surprise to the fullest. Secondly, the Russians likely assumed that the Ukrainians had decreased the concentration of their forces here in favor of other directions, such as Kreminna and Bakhmut, to the point where the Ukrainians were incapable of repelling a massive attack. That is why they opted for such a broad attack with a lot of troops – they didn’t think that the Ukrainians had enough troops to save the situation everywhere, and they also did not expect that the Ukrainians still have enough artillery in the region, as almost all artillery brigades were relocated to the east.

As it turned out, they underestimated the Ukrainians with respect to both factors because it turned out that the Ukrainians were not caught by surprise, they had enough men to retain control over all settlements, and they managed to cause the biggest problems for the Russians with their artillery. Even though this is exactly what the Ukrainian General Staff reported and showed in the video where Ukrainian artillery is successfully preventing the Russians from crossing the fields, the same conclusions can be derived from Russian sources as well.

The first wave of reports was overly optimistic and suggested that the Russians had taken control over all settlements in one day. The second wave of reports was less enthusiastic and claimed that the fights continued to take place. The fights did not continue to take place, but the Russians were definitely preparing to resume them very shortly. When they resumed their offensive actions, they significantly decreased the scope of their operation and focused just on the outskirts. The last wave of reports is more realistic, and almost all Russian sources confirm that the Russians did not enter any of the villages due to overwhelming arterially fire and distant mining.

Right now, the Ukrainians are in full control of the villages from Scherbaky to Novodanylivka, and the Russians here are conducting a lot of small-scale attacks that are meant to identify Ukrainian fortifications, observation posts, and other positions, which they later target with their artillery. In order to alleviate the main problems of their infantry, the Russians also engaged in intense counterbattery combat.

When it comes to the western part of the region, here the Russians continue storming Kamianske, and there are a lot of conflicting reports. The only thing that is clear is that the fights there are incredibly heavy.

Overall, the fights are once again becoming positional. This is very good news for the Ukrainians because it means that their defense line is intact, and the Ukrainians retained tactically advantageous positions that make it much easier to protect the flanks of Orikhiv.

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Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

[b]24 /01/23 LE FRONT - par Reporting from ukraine en anglais[/b]

Les défenses de Bakhamut prete à tomber

28 Jan: ALARMING. Ukrainian Defense ON THE VERGE OF COLLAPSE | War in Ukraine Explained

https://youtu.be/-5mPHUVCkZM
Day 339: January 28

Today there is some bad news from the east.

The most important developments happened to the southwest of Bakhmut. While the capture of Opytne did not give the Russians any tactical advantage, the capture of Klischiivka opened access to a lot of possibilities. The Russians immediately moved in two directions: Bakhmut and Chasiv Yar. As of now, the Russians have already cleared the forest, and today the first clashes took place in the rural zone north of the forest. There are a lot of small houses here, which means that there is a possibility of maintaining a permanent presence in this region, and if the Russians achieve it, they will establish physical control over the road that connects Ivanivske and Bakhmut.

But this is not the worst thing. As you remember, the Ukrainians were not using this road anyways because it was too close to the front line, and there are other safer roads. The worst result of establishing control over this rural area is that the Russians will have all other Ukrainian roads in the back in direct vision. If we look at the topographic map, we can see that this rural area is located on a hill, while the last Ukrainian supply road is in the lowlands and is only 3 km away from it. The good news is that taking control over this region is not easy as there are a lot of powerful Ukrainian positions around, which makes it very easy to push the Russians back. The Russians would need to penetrate all Ukrainian positions south of Bakhmut by around 1 km and simultaneously storm Ivanivske in order to secure this position. The Ukrainians understand the importance of this position, and so far, they did not allow the Russians to even enter it. And even if the Russians start to really push here, there is still a number of adjustments that the Ukrainians could make.

The first thing the Ukrainians will likely do in case of an increased threat is adjusting their defense. In my estimation, the first step would be to leave the eastern part of Bakhmut. By doing this, the Ukrainians would achieve three things. Firstly, the Ukrainians would shorten the front line from 12 km to 9 km, meaning that the demand for troops and supplies may drop by 25%. Secondly, this move would allow quickly reacting in the case of urgent withdrawal, as all the forces will be on the same bank of the river. Thirdly, the Ukrainians will move from the least fortified positions on the outskirts to the most fortified positions, such as high-rise buildings, industrial zones, and railway stations.

Overall, even though the Russians achieved little to no progress by trying to take Bakhmut in front, the Russians did manage to establish control over less fortified positions around Bakhmut, which threatens to cut off Ukrainian supplies. Such developments are not surprising, as the area to the south of Bakhmut is too vast, allowing the Russians to attack sparsely located villages one by one, and however well-fortified they may have been, constant artillery fire and airstrikes slowly make sure that there is nothing left to defend.

As the Institute for the Study of War concludes, the Ukrainian defense of Bakhmut is still a strategically sound effort because if the Ukrainians abandoned such towns-fortresses prematurely, it would force them to construct hasty defensive positions in less favorable terrain. But by deciding to hold the ground, the Ukrainians ensured that the Russians have been funneling their manpower and equipment into the area since May 2022 with no operational, let alone strategic, success.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence

02/03/23 LE FRONT Par Reporting from ukrain

02 Mar: ROLL BACK! Ukrainians DESTROY RUSSIAN HOPES OF EASY ENCIRCLEMENT of Bakhmut

https://youtu.be/5GYyB545UNU
Today a lot of updates are coming from the east. Here, the situation continued to deteriorate, and Russians started to engage their most elite forces to finally close the pocket, capture Ukrainian troops and put an end to the 7-month-long battle. However, the next Russian steps became so self-evident that Ukrainians set in motion a plan that would eliminate any possibility of an easy victory by changing the setting completely.

Last time I told you that Russians decided to overwhelm Ukrainians that are holding the flanks with the number of assaults. I also told you that this tactic gave them results and allowed them to get closer to Bohdanivka. The freshest reports suggest that they were stopped by heavy artillery and mortar fire, which forced them to adapt and spread out. For this, Russians once again tried to establish full control over Dubovo-Vasylivka and use it as a launching ground for their attack on Orihovo-Vasylivka, but due to constants fire, it is virtually impossible to maintain a permanent presence in the village, which is why it largely remains in a grey zone. Nonetheless, Russians had some success advancing along the tree belts but only up to a certain point. The same concern Russian advancement in the direction of Khromove – they got closer to the tree belts in front of the highway.

There is an active discussion as to what the Ukrainian Command is planning and whether they control the situation in Bakhmut at all. Ukrainian President Zelensky has been reaffirming that Ukrainians will not fight for Bakhmut at any cost. Ukrainian Presidential Advisor Rodnyanskyi stated that Ukrainian forces would withdraw from Bakhmut when needed but specified that this does not mean that Russian forces would be able to take Bakhmut quickly.

Simultaneously, some officials stated that Ukrainians are sending even more troops in Bakhmut, and today’s footage revealed that this information is correct. Also, Ukrainian Commander Madiar said that they would continue to hold the city as long as the higher command sees fit.

At first glance, these statements contradict one another and create a semblance that Ukrainians are sending more troops inside the doomed city and just wasting their resources at the expense of their counteroffensive. However, if we look deeper, we can see that this is not what is happening.

First of all, judging by the video, Ukrainians have gathered a lot of forces between Chasiv Yar and Khromove, so they are not being sent inside Bakhmut. Secondly, the main goal of Russians is to capture this small village on the outskirts of Bakhmut to completely cut off any movement in and out of the city. Thirdly, in order to achieve it, as reported by the Ukrainian Commander of Ground Forces, Wagner forces are increasingly committing their most prepared assault units to offensives in the area.

So, as we can see, Ukrainians have assumed high-ground positions in preparation for defeating Russians when they conduct a decisive attack. Judging by videos, it is also clear that the ground in the lowlands is soaked with thawed snow, while the ground on the hills is relatively dry, which gives Ukrainians another massive tactical advantage. If Ukrainians succeed in defeating Russians in the battle for Khromove, Russians will suffer severe losses in the most elite personnel and will be forced to reconsider their plans. By reinforcing the flanks and establishing tight control over the hills around Chasiv Yar, Ukrainians are planning to make flank attacks not feasible for Russians. Under such circumstances, Russians would be once again forced to resume battles inside the town, facilitating gradual withdrawal from the city, as described by the Presidential Advisor. It is obvious that this is a very difficult operation, but if Ukrainians are successful in conducting it, then this will be, indeed, the best possible course of action for Ukrainians and the worst for Russians.

_________________
Ce que tu sais , tu dois le dire , ainsi ils ne pourront pas dirent qu'ils ne savaient pas
Arrêtons le monstre, rien n'est pire que le silence